July 11
July 12 - 14 2002 Box Office
League of Extraordinary Gentlemen
$22.1M
Lee: Someone told me they had League of
Extraordinary Gentleman
before Phone Booth and the audience totally criticized it. II watched the trailer weeks ago and it looked confusing,
in
terms of holding a point.
Jason: The plot is tricky. Here's Upcoming Movies' take:
Set in a version of
Victorian Era England (1900) where many characters of fiction actually
exist....The reason for their being brought together is to foil a madman's ("The Fantom") evil plans for world domination by turning the nations of the world
against each other in something called a "World War" (if the script is anything
like the comic books, the nature of the villain, and what fictional source he's
from, may be kept secret until the end, for a "big surprise").
Lee: In one angle it's Connery back in the action genre;
in another, are people going to care for the story?
Jason: Action genre ala Avengers. I think it sounds interesting, but definitely a box
office bomb possibility.
Lee:
Yeah, I was searching for a good comparison. That might not be bad. Rollerball may be too harsh, but I don't know.
Jason: This sounds much more creative than Rollerball.
Lee: I remember Avengers had somewhat of a hip trailer, and then
did basically nothing.
Jason: Let me just put this on the record: the biggest bomb of the summer will be LXG.
It's an idea that could have only worked on a small budget, profit wise.
July 18
July 19 - 21 2002 Box Office
How To Deal
$11.5M
For Johnny English
$14.3M
Bad Boys II
$31.2M
Lee:
Despite the overseas success, I don't see Johnny English
doing amazing here.
Jason: Me either. $10 mil max $7 - 10.
Lee: I'm not sure how many people in its age range actually liked
Bean. The movie, at least. I think I had it at like $7 or something originally, but
hitting $10 or so could be possible.
Lee: Bad Boys 2 could be the one to watch. It could pull the surprise and have an Austin Powers
following if it really wants to - at least in terms of AP2.
Jason: How to Deal - 'Walk to remember', '10
Things I Hate' range.
Lee: How to Deal should be pretty expected. Mandy Moore is no Reese
Witherspoon yet.
My gut says $42 on Bad Boys. I could see it really coming out, but it's not something I'd
confidently go risky on BB2.
Jason: I'd say high $30s for BB2.
Lee: Extraordinary Gentleman could actually pull a Mystery Men.
July 23
Wednesday, July 24 2002 Box Office
Catch That Kid
$14.5M
Jason: Catch That Kid, I'd never heard of it until looking at
the release schedule. 12-year-old Maddy (Stewart) and her father (Robards) have
always shared a love for mountain climbing. Their hobby, however, has a
disastrous effect when an accident on Mount Everest injures his spine,
paralyzing him forever unless he gets a very expensive operation. Determined to
raise the money to pay for it, Maddy decides to recruit two of her friends to
help her break into the super-high-tech bank (which includes a vault suspended
30 feet off the floor) that her mother (Beals) works at
Lee:
Yeah I just thought the same.
Jason: Who wrote it? Sounds like Big Fat Liar quality.
July 25
July 26 - 28 2002 Box Office
Tomb Raider 2
$32.8M Sky Kids 3-D
$22.5M Seabiscuit
$9.5M
Lee: Tomb Raider is a good question.
I know there's a decent flow of people who were mixed on the original, and a
decent flow who liked it.
Jason: Tomb Raider, I'd go with mid $20s
Lee: I could see as low as $35 for TR2.
Jason: The first one had a lot of buzz, but that has definitely
died off.
Lee:
The original did $48.
Jason: I don't see any appeal left.
Not for Angelina, but for the series.
For the sequel, $25 - 30 million.
Lee: It wouldn't surprise me if it got high $20's, but reaching
$40 could be possible. I think there was a lot of curiosity to see what they did
with the video game and now people know what to expect; in some point of views,
that's a good thing, and in others a bad thing.
Jason: B Cinemascore for the original. Scorpion King might not be a bad comparison to TR2,
but a hypothetical Scorpion King 2 would be better for comparison.
Lee:
Both cheesy movies - at least TR2 is a potential cheesy movie.
Jason: Seabiscuit voted most likely to break out on LMI.
After American Idol fans rigged the poll.
Lee:
Right now I can't see it breaking out. It's not commercial enough. Who really cares about horse races, in the mainstream
department?
Jason: So like a Majestic.
Lee: Could be. Majestic was good, or so I thought.
Jason: Majestic was corny and emotionally contrived.
Lee:
It wasn't great, but for a 2.5 hour movie it was surprisingly
reasonable. Then there's Spy Kids in 3D, as if the big-screen wasn't
enough.
Jason: Spy Kids $20 mil.
Lee: I haven't seen the sequel, but I thought the original was
sort of fun. Sequel looked a little corny.
I misfired big time on my prediction for the sequel I
remember, so I'll watch out this time.
Jason: What did you predict?
Lee: Something like $35/40 I think, which was the same prediction
I had for Stuart Little. I was really off on those and E.T.
Jason: Ouch. Spy Kids is going to be
in 3-D with glasses and everything - some part of the movie at least.
That should help a bit for the open: $20 - 23 mil. |
