Friday Box Office Analysis (1/20)
Underworld 2 poster
By Lee Tistaert     Published January 21, 2006
The movie outplayed Resident Evil: Apocalypse, which had taken in $9.2 million on opening night after the original had debuted with a softer $6.8 million.
Underworld: Evolution debuted very much like Constantine on Friday, bringing in $10.6 million in 3,207 theaters, averaging a potent $3,295/screen; in comparison, the similarly dark Keanu Reeves flick had taken in $10.9 million and $3,620/screen in 3,006 theaters. The Sony/Screen Gems pic is a sequel to the 2003 original with Kate Beckinsale and Scott Speedman, which had grossed $8.6 million and $2,952/screen in 2,915 theaters.

The movie outplayed Resident Evil: Apocalypse, which had taken in $9.2 million on opening night in 3,284 theaters for a $2,811 average after the original Resident Evil had debuted with a softer $6.8 million for a $2,677 per-screen average. That was perhaps Underworld's safest comparison going into the weekend considering Evolution lacks the star-power of Constantine in regards to Reeves' reputation after The Matrix trilogy. Underworld is very likely to be front-loaded by Saturday considering the opening night rush factor - and given that it's a vampire flick, the genre is not known for stable legs; Queen of the Damned had dropped 4% in its second day (from a $5.8 million Friday) while the first Underworld slipped 8%^ - which doesn't boast too well for the sequel. A Saturday drop to $9 - 10 million should be in store, giving the pic a three-day gross of roughly $27.0 million, which will be very close to the $29.8 million bow of Constantine.

Terrence Malick's The New World expanded to 811 theaters after having been in limited release back at Christmas and took in $1.2 million for a modest $1,529 average. Though the picture's performance in general has been weak in comparison to Malick's previous film, The Thin Red Line, the differences at stake are huge. With the previous film, Malick was coming off of a twenty-year directing break, and he also had brought a very strong ensemble cast to his comeback picture (and was carrying lots of Oscar talk).

With New World, having Colin Farrell as the main star is not a hot move after the backlash to the Oliver Stone epic - and even though Christian Bale had Batman Returns working in his favor, period pieces are a hard sell to the mainstream market, and it was clear in the marketing that he only had a supporting part here...one that didn't involve wearing the beloved cape (and a new story about about Pocahontas may not be in grave demand). A Saturday boost to $1.5/1.6 million or so could be in store for The New World, which would give it a weekend take of almost $4.0 million.
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