What is BOFC? Box Office Forecast Challenge (BOFC)
is an online movie box office game that you can play every week for
every movie that is opening wide (as opposed to a few select cities). |
How Do You Play? Predict the
Friday - Sunday daily box office grosses for the given movie. The
player with the closest predictions to the actual box office grosses
wins. Take note that only your daily gross forecasts are counted in the
game. Your predicted total does not play a part in the challenge. |
Calculating A Prediction. Let's say Chicken Run
was opening this weekend and was the film that you needed to predict.
Approach the game in the same way as you'd do so for predicting the
movie's weekend total. Calculate what you think the film will gross
over the whole weekend and then work backwards.
Take For Example. You think Chicken Run will
make $17.2 million for the entire weekend. Considering the movie
targets both young and adult crowds, it's likely that it will have a
substantial Saturday increase in ticket sales and also has had good
reviews and nice buzz. Knowing this, you then predict that its Friday
gross would be about $5.2 million, Saturday - $7.4 million and Sunday -
$4.6 million. Adding the three figures up, it comes out to exactly
$17.2 million. The actual gross turns out to be $17.5 million so this
prediction is very close. Each day's accuracy is taken into account,
however, you are well on your way to winning a DVD. |